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Technology That Finds Bottoms

Bottom Finders’ research and technology development center on intense data modeling, calculations, and proprietary metrics designed to analyze the supply and demand pressures that drive stock price movements. The technology is built from a market maker’s perspective, reflecting the types of tools and insights large institutions might use when influencing price action. While supply and demand remain the foundation, Bottom Finders recognizes that market participants such as banks and professional traders also utilize advanced instruments—like options and their associated Greeks (Delta, Gamma, etc.)—to hedge and manage risk. Ultimately, however, these activities feed back into supply and demand, which the indicators are designed to capture.


The technology presents its findings through the lens of a market maker, encouraging a strategic mindset centered on how a major institution might approach managing a stock. Because of this orientation, the technology is considered leading in nature and posture. Bottom Finders technology consists of four indicators: Demand, Supply, and Net Volume—alongside a customized version of the widely recognized On-Balance Volume (OBV). OBV is incorporated as an independent, secondary validation tool to help ensure the analysis remains objective and grounded.


 Prior to using these indicators, users are encouraged to build a strong understanding of the underlying principles and methodology to maximize their effectiveness. 

How to use Bottom Finders

Read other sections on how to best utilize Bottom Finders and begin trading with the market makers and institutions, not against them. 

Find Out How To Get Started!

Demand Metric

 The Demand metric is designed to measure demand pressure on a stock. It is represented by a green line with white peaks and troughs that oscillates between 0 and 100, typically remaining within a range of approximately 20 to 75. Key thresholds are identified at 40, indicating potential oversold conditions, and 60, indicating potential overbought conditions. 


When the green line falls below 40, it signals weakening demand, suggesting that price action may begin to stabilize as it seeks to attract buyers. In this scenario, traders should monitor for support levels where price consolidation may occur. Continued declines below this threshold may indicate heightened selling pressure, warranting patience until a new support level is established following another dip below the threshold.


Conversely, when the green line rises above 60, it reflects strong demand, implying that price action may begin to encounter selling pressure as market participants, including institutional investors, look to exit positions. Traders should watch for resistance levels where price may stabilize. Sustained movement above 60 may indicate excessive buying activity, presenting opportunities to secure profits or implement risk management strategies such as trailing stops. At this stage, traders must assess whether to capture gains or remain in the position as the market potentially establishes a new trading range.

Supply Metric

 The Supply metric is designed to reflect the current distribution of supply within a given stock. At its core, the metric measures where inventory is concentrated. Its primary objective is to determine whether shares are predominantly held by retail investors or by market makers and institutional participants. Accordingly, the numerical scale alongside the graph is less important than the relative position of the red line—specifically whether it is situated near the bottom, middle, or top of its range.


When the red line is positioned near the bottom, it suggests that market makers hold relatively low inventory and may seek to replenish their positions. This environment is often accompanied by selling pressure from retail participants, potentially triggered by technical breakdowns or negative news events. In such cases, it is important for traders to recognize that market makers may facilitate selling activity, contribute to downward price movement, and subsequently reaccumulate inventory at more favorable levels.


Conversely, when the red line is near the top, it typically reflects a period following a downtrend during which market makers have accumulated significant inventory. At this stage, conditions may be conducive for distributing shares back into the market, often supported by increased buying interest from retail investors driven by positive news or analyst upgrades. Understanding this dynamic can help traders align their strategies more effectively with prevailing market forces.


In practice, one of the more constructive signals occurs when demand is low (with the demand metric below 40) while supply is elevated. This combination may indicate that institutional participants have accumulated positions during periods of weak demand and may be preparing for a potential upward price movement. Recognizing these conditions can support more informed decision-making and improved trade timing.

Net Volume Metric

The Net Volume metric represents the net difference between buying and selling volume. Values above zero indicate that buying activity exceeds selling activity, while values below zero reflect greater selling pressure. The magnitude of these readings provides insight into the intensity of buying or selling momentum.


In addition to identifying directional pressure, this metric can help assess whether buying or selling activity is strengthening or weakening over time, supporting more informed trading decisions. The patterns formed by this metric may also offer insight into the persistence of market pressure, including how long institutional participants may sustain a directional move before pausing or reversing.


A crossover from positive to negative territory, or vice versa, can be interpreted as a potential shift in market sentiment and may signal the early stages of a trend change.

Custom OnBalance Volume Indicator

The On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator is a widely used technical analysis tool that measures buying and selling pressure by combining a stock’s price movement with its trading volume. It provides traders with insights into the strength of a trend and potential trend reversals.


For Bottom Finders, OBV is particularly valuable as a complementary validation to the Supply metric. Although OBV and Supply are calculated differently, they often exhibit inverse behavior, providing a form of cross-verification. For example, when Supply is high—indicating inventory is concentrated with market makers—OBV typically registers low, reflecting limited stock held by retail traders. Conversely, low Supply with high OBV can indicate the opposite.


Bottom Finders recommends using OBV primarily as a confirmation tool for Supply signals rather than as a standalone indicator.

Putting it all together

 The chart on the right displays a view of the Micro E-Mini S&P futures contract using all the metric at once. Key observations include:


  • The indicators are leading, rather than lagging, measures of market activity. 
  • In the Demand metric, white tops are typically followed by price declines, while white bottoms precede price advances. 
  • During the sell-off, the Supply metric shows increased inventory accumulation by market makers and institutional participants. 
  • Supply and OBV often move inversely, providing complementary perspectives despite being calculated differently.

 

Optimal signals for long positions occur when demand is at its lowest, supply is at its highest, OBV is low, and net volume is negative. These conditions can also serve as an exit point for short positions.


Optimal signals for short positions occur when demand is at its highest, supply is at its lowest, OBV is high, and net volume is positive. These conditions can also indicate an exit point for long positions.

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